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<div align="center">

# COVID-19 - Intrepertable Forecasting for COVID-19 Economy
# DemandNet: A Novel Deep Learning Model for Hotel Demand and Revenue Prediction amid COVID-19

[![Conference](http://img.shields.io/badge/HICSS-2022-4b44ce.svg)](https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.04383)
</div>


## Star History

[![Star History Chart](https://api.star-history.com/svg?repos=ashfarhangi/COVID-19&type=Date)](https://star-history.com/#ashfarhangi/COVID-19&Date)
## Overview

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the tourism and hospitality sector, with public policies such as travel restrictions and stay-at-home orders affecting tourist activities and business operations. To address this, we developed DemandNet, a novel deep learning framework for predicting time series data under the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic. DemandNet aims to support managerial and organizational decision-making by providing accurate and interpretable forecasts.

## Key Features

- **Feature Selection**: A mechanism to select the top static and dynamic features embedded in the time series data.
- **Nonlinear Modeling**: A multilayer neural network that provides interpretable insights into previously seen data.
- **Robust Predictions**: A prediction model leveraging selected features and nonlinear models to make robust long-term forecasts.
- **Dynamic Dropout Optimization**: Minimizes prediction uncertainties and provides optimal confidence in forecasts.

## Contributions

1. **Feature Selection Mechanism**: Selects the top static and dynamic features of a time series, enhancing the ability to capture complex critical features.
2. **Multilayer Neural Network**: Derives the nonlinear relationship of selected features to the predictor, providing interpretable insights.
3. **Novel Prediction Model**: Leverages a dynamic dropout optimization mechanism for robust multi-step time series prediction.
4. **Capability for New Data**: Capable of predicting newly added time series data without previous training.


A repository for COVID-19 factors and impacts on US economy.
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loc: data/COVID19_state.xlsx



[![Star History Chart](https://api.star-history.com/svg?repos=ashfarhangi/COVID-19&type=Date)](https://star-history.com/#ashfarhangi/COVID-19&Date)

### Prerequisites

- Tensorflow 2.0.2
- Nvidia GPU


### Installation
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3. Run model.py


## Contributing

Contributions are what make the open source community such an amazing place to be learn, inspire, and create. Any contributions you make are **greatly appreciated**.

Citation for code, data, or paper is as below:


Farhangi, A., Huang, A. and Guo, Z., A Novel Deep Learning Model For Hotel Demand and Revenue Prediction amid COVID-19. Proceedings of the 55th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS), 2022
# Citation

```@article{farhanginovel,
```bibtex
@inproceedings{farhangidemand,
title={A Novel Deep Learning Model For Hotel Demand and Revenue Prediction amid COVID-19},
author={Farhangi, Ashkan and Huang, Arthur and Guo, Zhishan}
author={Farhangi, Ashkan and Huang, Arthur and Guo, Zhishan},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 55th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS 2022)},
year={2022},
organization={HICSS-55}
}
```
```

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