bibliography_all.bib

@article{Harris1913,
  title = {How Many Parts to Make at Once},
  author = {Ford W. Harris},
  journal = {Factory, The Magazine of Management},
  volume = {10}, 
  number = {2}, 
  year = {1913},
  pages = {135-136, 152}
}

@book{Hamilton1777,
  title = {Introduction to Merchandize},
  author = {Robert Hamilton},
  year = {1777},
  url = {https://ia800309.us.archive.org/6/items/anintroductiont00hamigoog/anintroductiont00hamigoog.pdf}
}

@article{Dantzig1949b,
 ISSN = {00129682, 14680262},
 URL = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/1905523},
 abstract = {Activities (or production processes) are considered as building blocks out of which a technology is constructed. Postulates are developed by which activities may be combined. The main part of the paper is concerned with the discrete type model and the use of a linear maximization function for finding the "optimum" program. The mathematical problem associated with this approach is developed first in general notation and then in term sof a dynamic system of equations expressed in matrix notation. Typical problems from the fields of inter-industryrelations, transportation nutrition, warehouse storage, and air transport are given in the last section.},
 author = {George B. Dantzig},
 journal = {Econometrica},
 number = {3/4},
 pages = {200--211},
 publisher = {[Wiley, Econometric Society]},
 title = {Programming of Interdependent Activities: II Mathematical Model},
 volume = {17},
 year = {1949}
}


@book{AlKarizmi830,
  author = {Muḥammad ibn Mūsā al-Khwārizmī},
  title = {The Compendious Book on Calculation by Completion and Balancing, translated as Algebra of Mohammed ben Musa by Frederic Rosen},
  year = 1881,
  url = {https://www.wilbourhall.org/pdfs/The_Algebra_of_Mohammed_Ben_Musa2.pdf}
}

@article{Labelle2002,
author = {Labelle, A. and Langevin, André and Campbell, James},
year = {2002},
month = {02},
pages = {183-202},
title = {Sector design for snow removal and disposal in urban areas},
volume = {36},
journal = {Socio-Economic Planning Sciences},
doi = {10.1016/S0038-0121(01)00024-6}
}


@book{feynman_1996,
  title={Lectures On Computation},
  author={Feynman, R.P. and Allen, R.},
  isbn={9780201489910},
  lccn={96025127},
  series={Advanced book program},
  url={https://books.google.com/books?id=-olQAAAAMAAJ},
  year={1996},
  publisher={Basic Books}
}

@book{Winston2019,
  title = {Microsoft Excel 2019: Data Analysis and Business Modeling, 6th edition},
  author = {Wayne L. WInston},
  publisher = {Microsoft Press},
  year = {2019}
}



@article{Geman_1996,
	year = 1996,
	month = {oct},
	publisher = {Wiley},
	volume = {6},
	number = {4},
	pages = {365--378},
	author = {H{\'{e}}lyette Geman and Marc Yor},
	title = {{PRICING} {AND} {HEDGING} {DOUBLE}-{BARRIER} {OPTIONS}: A {PROBABILISTIC} {APPROACH}},
	journal = {Mathematical Finance}
}

@book{Kanwal_1989,
  author = {Ram P. Kanwal},
  title = {Generalized Functions: Theory and Technique, 2nd ed.},
  year = {1989},
  publisher = {Birkhauser}
}

@book{Citation_needed,
  title = {title needed}
}
@Book{Koenker_2005,
  author = {Roger Koenker},
  year = {2005},
  title = {Quantile Regression (Econometric Society Monographs)},
  publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
  address = {Cambridge, U.K.},
}

@Book{Jaynes_2004,
  title = {Probability Theory: logic of science},
  author = {Edwin T. Jaynes, ed. G. Larry Bretthorst},
  year = {2004},
  publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
  address = {Cambridge, U.K.},
}

@article{Taleb2019,
title = {How much data do you need? An operational, pre-asymptotic metric for fat-tailedness},
journal = {International Journal of Forecasting},
volume = {35},
number = {2},
pages = {677-686},
year = {2019},
issn = {0169-2070},
doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.10.003},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207018301535},
author = {Nassim Nicholas Taleb},
keywords = {Heavy tails, Limit theorems, Risk management, Large deviations},
abstract = {This paper presents an operational metric for univariate unimodal probability distributions with finite first moments in [0,1], where 0 is maximally thin-tailed (Gaussian) and 1 is maximally fat-tailed. It is based on the question, “how much data does one need to make meaningful statements about a given dataset?” Applications: Among others, it •helps to determine the sample size n needed for statistical significance outside the Gaussian distribution,•helps to measure the speed of convergence to the Gaussian (or stable basin),•allows practical comparisons across classes of fat-tailed distributions,•allows the number of securities needed in portfolio construction to achieve a certain level of risk-reduction from diversification to be assessed,•helps in assessing risks under various settings, and•helps to explain some inconsistent attributes of the lognormal, depending on the parametrization of its variance. The literature in regard to asymptotic behavior is rich, but there is a large void regarding finite values of n, which are those that are needed for operational purposes. Background: Conventional measures of fat-tailedness, namely (1) the tail index for the power law class, and (2) the kurtosis for finite moment distributions, fail to apply to some distributions, and do not allow comparisons across classes and parametrization; that is, between power laws outside the Levy-stable basin, or power laws and distributions in other classes, or power laws for different numbers of summands. How can one compare a sum of 100 Student t distributed random variables with three degrees of freedom to one in a Levy-stable or a Lognormal class? How can one compare a sum of 100 Student t with three degrees of freedom to a single Student t with two degrees of freedom? We propose an operational and heuristic metric that allows us to compare n-summed independent variables under all distributions with finite first moments. The method is based on the rate of convergence of the law of large numbers for finite sums, specifically n-summands. We get either explicit expressions or simulation results and bounds for the lognormal, exponential, Pareto, and Student t distributions in their various calibrations, in addition to the general Pearson classes.}
}

@Book{Polya_1954,
  title = {Mathemtics and Plausible Reasoning},
  author = {George Polya},
  year = {1954},
  publisher = {Princeton University Press},
  address = {Princeton, N.J.},
}

@Book{Smith_1955,
  title = {Precepts of Rhetoric},
  author = {Sydney J. Smith, S.J.},
  publisher = {The Holy Cross College Press},
  address = {Worcester, Ma.},
  year = {1955}
}

@incollection{Peirce_1883,
author = {Charles S. Peirce},
title = {A Theory of Probable Inference},
booktitle = {Studies in Logic by Members of the Johns Hopkins University},
editor = {Charles S. Peirce},
year = {1883},
address = {Boston, MA},
publisher = {Little, Brown, and Company},
pages = {126-181},
language = {English},
note = {From the Commens Bibliography | \url{http://www.commens.org/bibliography/collection_article/peirce-charles-s-1883-theory-probable-inference-studies-logic}},
}

@Book{Plato_Theaetetus,
  author = {Plato},
  title = {Theaetetus},
  year = {340 BCE},
  url = {http://www.perseus.tufts.edu/hopper/text?doc=Perseus%3Atext%3A1999.01.0172%3Atext%3DTheaet.%3Asection%3D210a}
}

@book{Aristotle_Organon,
  author = {Aristotle},
  title = {Organon and Other Works},
  translator = {W.D. Ross},
  url = {https://archive.org/details/AristotleOrganon},
}

@incollection{Lepore_2006,
	publisher = {North Holland},
	author = {Ernest Lepore and Matthew Stone},
	editor = {Dale Jacquette},
	booktitle = {Philosophy of Logic},
	pages = {173},
	year = {2006},
	title = {Logic and Semantic Analysis}
}

@Book{Potter_1994,
  author = {Potter, Vincent G.},
  title = {On Understanding Understanding -- 2nd ed.},
  place = {Bronx, N.Y.},
  publisher = {Fordham University Press},
  year = {1994},
  url = {https://www.fordhampress.com/9780823214860/on-understanding-understanding/},
  annotate = {Vincent Potter, S.J. taught me an advanced course at Fordham called Central Problems in Epistemology around 1973. The core reading for this course was Longergan's Insight.}
}

@book{Laplace_1902,
  title={A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities},
  author={de Laplace, P.S. and Truscott, F.W. and Emory, F.L.},
  series={A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities},
  url={https://books.google.com/books?id=WxoPAAAAIAAJ},
  year={1902},
  publisher={Wiley}
}

@article{Haigh2014,
  title = {Los Alamos Bets on ENIAC: Nuclear Monte Carlo Simulations, 1947–1948},
  author = {Thomas Haigh, Mark Priestley, Crispin Rope},
  journal = {IEEE Annals of the History of Computing},
  year = {2014},
  number = {July-August}
  }

@book{Tukey1977,
  title = {Exploratory Data Analysis},
  author = {John Tukey},
  year = {1977},
  url = {https://archive.org/details/exploratorydataa0000tuke_7616}
  }

@article{Dolan_2017,
author = {Timothy E. Dolan},
title ={Framing Indeterminacy: Dialectical Analysis and Futures Studies},
journal = {World Futures Review},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {83-94},
year = {2018},
doi = {10.1177/1946756717739628},

URL = {
        https://doi.org/10.1177/1946756717739628

},
eprint = {
        https://doi.org/10.1177/1946756717739628

}
,
    abstract = { The dialectic is a very ancient device long used to comprehend historical process. Its versatility as a tool for informing on numerous issues of interest to those involved in futures studies is self-evident yet under-appreciated, not as a predicting device but as a framing one, much as with how catalysts work in chemistry. This piece first briefly describes the basics of the dialectical process and its application as an outcome framing method. Its connections with other forecasting methods especially with emerging issues analysis is discussed. The properties of dialectical processes are dynamic and do not necessarily conform to human-scale either temporally or spatially. Dialectical process related to social change and worldview are not subordinate to cyclic time except when artificially imposed as with political elections. The dialectical process being consistent with quantum mechanics especially as applied to technological impacts and legal enactment process will be discussed. In the latter instance, the dark matter and dark energy conundrum bear the hallmarks of a dialectical process thus far leading to an indeterminable resolution. While several examples of persistent issue contradictions to which dialectical analysis can be usefully applied are available, American health care policy is highlighted here. }
}

@Book{Smit_Trigeorgis_2004,
 title                = {Strategic Investment: Real Options and Games},
 author               = {Smit, Han and Trigeorgis, Lenos},
 publisher            = {Princeton University Press},
 year                 = {2004},
}

@Book{Heuer_1999,
  author = {Heuer, Richards J.},
  title = {Psychology Of Intelligence Analysis},
  place = {Washington, D.C.},
  publisher = {Center for the Study of Intelligence},
  year = {1999},
  url = {https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/psychology-of-intelligence-analysis/PsychofIntelNew.pdf}
}

@book{Heuer_Pherson_2010,
 author = {Heuer,Jr., Richards J. and Pherson, Randolph H.},
 title = {Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis},
 year = {2010},
 publisher = {CQ Press},
}

@book{gilovich_griffin_kahneman_2002,
  author = {Gilovich, Griffin, Kahneman},
  place={Cambridge},
  title={Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment},
  DOI={10.1017/CBO9780511808098},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
  year={2002}
}

@article{Foote_2018,
  author = {William G. Foote},
  title = {Dialectical Intelligence Analysis: A New Optic},
  year = {2018}
}

@article{Fox_2010,
  author = {William P. Fox},
  title = {Game Theory and Optimization via Excel},
  journal = {Proceedings of the Twenty-second Annual International Conference on Technology in Collegiate Mathematics},
  url = {http://archives.math.utk.edu/ICTCM/i/22/S070.html},
  volume = {22},
  year = {2010}
}

@article{Harsanyi_1967,
  author = {John C. Harsanyi},
  title = {Games With Incomplete Information Played by "Bayesian" Players, I},
  journal = {Management Science},
  number = {3},
  pages = {159-182},
  year = {1967}
}

@article{Slantchev_2014,
  author = {Branislav L. Slantchev},
  title = {National Security Strategy: Games and Information},
  journal = {Department of Political Science, University of California at San Diego},
  url = {http://slantchev.ucsd.edu/courses/ps142j/lectures/games-and-information.pdf},
  year = {2014}
}

@article{Buffa_2018,
  author = {Cristina Buffa},
  title = {The Magnificat and the Song of Hannah: Comparing Social Conditions},
  journal = {Revue des sciences religieuses},
  volume = {92},
  number = {3},
  year = {2018},
  pages = {377-392},
}

@article{Bengochea_2013,
  author = {Bengochea, Gabriel and G, Gabriel},
  year = {2013},
  month = {05},
  pages = {},
  title = {Mikusi\'nski's Operational Calculus with Algebraic Foundations and Applications to Bessel Functions},
  volume = {25},
  journal = {Integral Transforms and Special Functions},
  doi = {10.1080/10652469.2013.838956}
}

@article{Dimovski_1966,
author = {Dimovski, Ivan},
year = {1966},
month = {01},
pages = {1111-1114},
title = {Operational calculus for a class of differential operators},
volume = {19},
journal = {C.R. Acad. Bulg. Sci.}
}

@article{Bengachea_2018,
  author = {Bengochea, Gabriel and Verde-Star, Luis and Ortigueira, Manuel},
  year = {2018},
  month = {01},
  pages = {},
  title = {Operational method for the solution of ordinary differential equations using Hermite series},
  volume = {23},
  journal = {Mathematical Communications}
}

@book{Dorfman_Samuelson_Solow_1958,
  author = {Robert Dorfman, Paul A. Samuelson, Robert M. Solow},
  title = {Linear Programming and Economic Analysis},
  publisher = {McGraw-Hill},
  year = {1958}
}

@book{Yosida_1983,
  author = {K{\^{o}}saku Yosida},
  title = {Operational Calculus: A Theory of Hyperfunctions},
  publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
  year = {1983}
}

@book{Mikusinski_1958,
  author = {Jan Mikusi{\'{n}}ski},
  title = {Operational Calculus},
  publisher = {Pergamon Press},
  year = {1958}
}

@book{Varian_1992,
  title = {Microeconomic Analysis},
  author = {Varian, H.R.},
  year = {1992},
  publisher = {Norton}
}

@article{Bandyopadhyay_Subhay_Sandler_2014,
    author = {Bandyopadhyay, Subhayu and Sandler, Todd and Younas, Javed},
    title = "{Foreign direct investment, aid, and terrorism}",
    journal = {Oxford Economic Papers},
    volume = {66},
    number = {1},
    pages = {25-50},
    year = {2013},
    month = {07},
    abstract = "{This paper constructs a theoretical model to investigate the relationship between the two major forms of terrorism and foreign direct investment (FDI). We analyze with various estimators how these relationships are affected by foreign aid flows by focusing on 78 developing countries for 1984-2008. Both types of terrorism are found to depress FDI. Aggregate aid mitigates the negative consequences of domestic and transnational terrorism, but this aid appears more robust in ameliorating the adverse effect of domestic terrorism. However, when aid is subdivided, bilateral aid is effective in reducing the adverse effects of transnational terrorism on FDI, whereas multilateral aid is effective in curbing the adverse effects of domestic terrorism on FDI. For transnational terrorism, there is evidence in the literature that donor countries earmark some bilateral aid to counterterrorism. Aid ability to curb the risk to FDI from terrorism is important because FDI is an important engine of development.}",
    issn = {0030-7653},
    doi = {10.1093/oep/gpt026},
    url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpt026},
    eprint = {http://oup.prod.sis.lan/oep/article-pdf/66/1/25/17481359/gpt026.pdf},
}

@article{Sandler_2014,
    author = {Sandler, Todd},
    title = "{Terrorism and counterterrorism: an overview}",
    journal = {Oxford Economic Papers},
    volume = {67},
    number = {1},
    pages = {1-20},
    year = {2014},
    month = {11},
    abstract = "{This introduction sets the stage for the articles collected in this special issue of Oxford Economic Papers. It begins by introducing essential concepts including domestic terrorism, transnational terrorism, defensive actions, proactive countermeasures, and guerrilla warfare. Three terrorist event databases, used by seven of the articles, are briefly introduced. These data sets are then used to display some stylized facts about domestic and transnational terrorism during the past four decades. Next, some essential strategic distinctions are drawn between defensive and proactive measures in the case of transnational terrorism when multiple countries are confronted by a common terrorist group. These strategic concerns vanish for domestic terrorism as a central government is able to internalize potential externalities. Finally, the key findings of the articles in the special issue are highlighted in two tables.}",
    eprint = {http://oup.prod.sis.lan/oep/article-pdf/67/1/1/9540903/gpu039.pdf},
}

@article{Masud_1981,
 ISSN = {01605682, 14769360},
 URL = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2581556},
 abstract = {This paper introduces a new solution method based on Goal Programming for Multiple Objective Decision Making (MODM) problems. The method, called Interactive Sequential Goal Programming (ISGP), combines and extends the attractive features of both Goal Programming and interactive solution approaches for MODM problems. ISGP is applicable to both linear and non-linear problems. It uses existing single objective optimization techniques and, hence, available computer codes utilizing these techniques can be adapted for use in ISGP. The non-dominance of the "best-compromise" solution is assured. The information required from the decision maker in each iteration is simple. The proposed method is illustrated by solving a nutrition problem.},
 author = {Abu S. Masud and C. L. Hwang},
 journal = {The Journal of the Operational Research Society},
 number = {5},
 pages = {391-400},
 publisher = {Palgrave Macmillan Journals},
 title = {Interactive Sequential Goal Programming},
 volume = {32},
 year = {1981}
}

@book{Lonergan_1970,
  author = {Bernard J.F. Lonergan},
  title = {Insight: A Study of Human Understanding},
  publisher = {Philosophical Library},
  year = {1970}
}

@incollection{Bruce_2014,
  author      = {Bruce, James B.},
  title       = {Making Analysis More Reliable: Why Epistemology Matters to Intelligence},
  editor      = "Jan Fagerberg and David C. Mowery and Richard R. Nelson",
  booktitle   = {Analyzing Intelligence: National Security Practitioners Perspectives},
  publisher   = {Georgetown University Press},
  year        = {2014}
}

@article{Collier_2005,
  author = {Michael W. Collier},
  title = {A Pragmatic Approach to Developing Intelligence Analysis},
  journal = {Defense Intelligence Journal},
  volume = {14},
  number = {3},
  pages = {17-35},
  year = {2005}
}