Representing incomplete scenarios

[hneth]

Related to the issues of visualizing uncertainty and representing changes:

• How can we express and depict incomplete or partial scenarios, in which some parameters are known, but others are unknown or may be irrelevant?

For instance, many well-known problems involving conditional probabilities (e.g., see the so-called prosecutor's fallacy) can be visualized and explained by showing partial frequency trees (with only 1 main branch being of interest). The confusion typically results from a (mis-)interpretation of 2 different conditional probabilities.

Without a way of plotting incomplete scenarios, we have no means of representing such problems.