From e49f21a0c4c2c3f937936c7f6d52520d9b9a0482 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: Max Lapan <max.lapan@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 3 Aug 2021 17:47:22 +0200
Subject: [PATCH] Preface started

---
 .gitignore         |    1 +
 00-Preface.ipynb   |  118 +++++
 Manifest.toml      | 1244 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
 Project.toml       |    3 +
 data/cars.csv      |   51 ++
 sandbox/plt1.ipynb |  105 ++++
 6 files changed, 1522 insertions(+)
 create mode 100644 .gitignore
 create mode 100644 00-Preface.ipynb
 create mode 100644 Manifest.toml
 create mode 100644 Project.toml
 create mode 100644 data/cars.csv
 create mode 100644 sandbox/plt1.ipynb

diff --git a/.gitignore b/.gitignore
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..87620ac
--- /dev/null
+++ b/.gitignore
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+.ipynb_checkpoints/
diff --git a/00-Preface.ipynb b/00-Preface.ipynb
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..99be568
--- /dev/null
+++ b/00-Preface.ipynb
@@ -0,0 +1,118 @@
+{
+ "cells": [
+  {
+   "cell_type": "markdown",
+   "id": "93b7bcd7",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "source": [
+    "Code 0.1"
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "code",
+   "execution_count": 2,
+   "id": "b7b2dd04",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "outputs": [
+    {
+     "name": "stdout",
+     "output_type": "stream",
+     "text": [
+      "All models are wrong, but some are useful!\n"
+     ]
+    }
+   ],
+   "source": [
+    "println(\"All models are wrong, but some are useful!\")"
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "markdown",
+   "id": "db7b85d4",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "source": [
+    "Code 0.2"
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "code",
+   "execution_count": 3,
+   "id": "5d765b0f",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "outputs": [
+    {
+     "data": {
+      "text/plain": [
+       "200.0000000000001"
+      ]
+     },
+     "execution_count": 3,
+     "metadata": {},
+     "output_type": "execute_result"
+    }
+   ],
+   "source": [
+    "x = range(1, 2, length=2)\n",
+    "x = x .* 10 .|> log |> sum |> exp\n",
+    "x "
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "markdown",
+   "id": "239b58d0",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "source": [
+    "Code 0.3"
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "code",
+   "execution_count": 6,
+   "id": "5f9a9f58",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "outputs": [
+    {
+     "data": {
+      "text/plain": [
+       "2-element Array{Float64,1}:\n",
+       "  -Inf\n",
+       " -921.0340371976182"
+      ]
+     },
+     "execution_count": 6,
+     "metadata": {},
+     "output_type": "execute_result"
+    }
+   ],
+   "source": [
+    "[\n",
+    "    log(0.01^200); \n",
+    "    200 * log(0.01)\n",
+    "]"
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "code",
+   "execution_count": null,
+   "id": "da761d66",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "outputs": [],
+   "source": []
+  }
+ ],
+ "metadata": {
+  "kernelspec": {
+   "display_name": "Julia 1.5.3",
+   "language": "julia",
+   "name": "julia-1.5"
+  },
+  "language_info": {
+   "file_extension": ".jl",
+   "mimetype": "application/julia",
+   "name": "julia",
+   "version": "1.5.3"
+  }
+ },
+ "nbformat": 4,
+ "nbformat_minor": 5
+}
diff --git a/Manifest.toml b/Manifest.toml
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..8118e9b
--- /dev/null
+++ b/Manifest.toml
@@ -0,0 +1,1244 @@
+# This file is machine-generated - editing it directly is not advised
+
+[[AbstractFFTs]]
+deps = ["LinearAlgebra"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "485ee0867925449198280d4af84bdb46a2a404d0"
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+version = "1.0.1"
+
+[[AbstractMCMC]]
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+
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+
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+
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+
+[[AdvancedHMC]]
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+
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+
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+
+[[AdvancedVI]]
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+git-tree-sha1 = "e7fd7b2881fa2eaa72717420894d3938177862d1"
+uuid = "2def613f-5ad1-5310-b15b-b15d46f528f5"
+version = "0.4.0+1"
+
+[[Xorg_xcb_util_keysyms_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_xcb_util_jll"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "d1151e2c45a544f32441a567d1690e701ec89b00"
+uuid = "975044d2-76e6-5fbe-bf08-97ce7c6574c7"
+version = "0.4.0+1"
+
+[[Xorg_xcb_util_renderutil_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_xcb_util_jll"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "dfd7a8f38d4613b6a575253b3174dd991ca6183e"
+uuid = "0d47668e-0667-5a69-a72c-f761630bfb7e"
+version = "0.3.9+1"
+
+[[Xorg_xcb_util_wm_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_xcb_util_jll"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "e78d10aab01a4a154142c5006ed44fd9e8e31b67"
+uuid = "c22f9ab0-d5fe-5066-847c-f4bb1cd4e361"
+version = "0.4.1+1"
+
+[[Xorg_xkbcomp_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libxkbfile_jll"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "4bcbf660f6c2e714f87e960a171b119d06ee163b"
+uuid = "35661453-b289-5fab-8a00-3d9160c6a3a4"
+version = "1.4.2+4"
+
+[[Xorg_xkeyboard_config_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_xkbcomp_jll"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "5c8424f8a67c3f2209646d4425f3d415fee5931d"
+uuid = "33bec58e-1273-512f-9401-5d533626f822"
+version = "2.27.0+4"
+
+[[Xorg_xtrans_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "79c31e7844f6ecf779705fbc12146eb190b7d845"
+uuid = "c5fb5394-a638-5e4d-96e5-b29de1b5cf10"
+version = "1.4.0+3"
+
+[[Zlib_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "320228915c8debb12cb434c59057290f0834dbf6"
+uuid = "83775a58-1f1d-513f-b197-d71354ab007a"
+version = "1.2.11+18"
+
+[[Zstd_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "2c1332c54931e83f8f94d310fa447fd743e8d600"
+uuid = "3161d3a3-bdf6-5164-811a-617609db77b4"
+version = "1.4.8+0"
+
+[[ZygoteRules]]
+deps = ["MacroTools"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "9e7a1e8ca60b742e508a315c17eef5211e7fbfd7"
+uuid = "700de1a5-db45-46bc-99cf-38207098b444"
+version = "0.2.1"
+
+[[libass_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "Bzip2_jll", "FreeType2_jll", "FriBidi_jll", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Zlib_jll"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "acc685bcf777b2202a904cdcb49ad34c2fa1880c"
+uuid = "0ac62f75-1d6f-5e53-bd7c-93b484bb37c0"
+version = "0.14.0+4"
+
+[[libfdk_aac_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "7a5780a0d9c6864184b3a2eeeb833a0c871f00ab"
+uuid = "f638f0a6-7fb0-5443-88ba-1cc74229b280"
+version = "0.1.6+4"
+
+[[libpng_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Zlib_jll"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "6abbc424248097d69c0c87ba50fcb0753f93e0ee"
+uuid = "b53b4c65-9356-5827-b1ea-8c7a1a84506f"
+version = "1.6.37+6"
+
+[[libvorbis_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Ogg_jll", "Pkg"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "fa14ac25af7a4b8a7f61b287a124df7aab601bcd"
+uuid = "f27f6e37-5d2b-51aa-960f-b287f2bc3b7a"
+version = "1.3.6+6"
+
+[[x264_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "d713c1ce4deac133e3334ee12f4adff07f81778f"
+uuid = "1270edf5-f2f9-52d2-97e9-ab00b5d0237a"
+version = "2020.7.14+2"
+
+[[x265_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "487da2f8f2f0c8ee0e83f39d13037d6bbf0a45ab"
+uuid = "dfaa095f-4041-5dcd-9319-2fabd8486b76"
+version = "3.0.0+3"
+
+[[xkbcommon_jll]]
+deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Wayland_jll", "Wayland_protocols_jll", "Xorg_libxcb_jll", "Xorg_xkeyboard_config_jll"]
+git-tree-sha1 = "ece2350174195bb31de1a63bea3a41ae1aa593b6"
+uuid = "d8fb68d0-12a3-5cfd-a85a-d49703b185fd"
+version = "0.9.1+5"
diff --git a/Project.toml b/Project.toml
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..3d11a7e
--- /dev/null
+++ b/Project.toml
@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+[deps]
+Plots = "91a5bcdd-55d7-5caf-9e0b-520d859cae80"
+Turing = "fce5fe82-541a-59a6-adf8-730c64b5f9a0"
diff --git a/data/cars.csv b/data/cars.csv
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..ccb992d
--- /dev/null
+++ b/data/cars.csv
@@ -0,0 +1,51 @@
+"","speed","dist"
+"1",4,2
+"2",4,10
+"3",7,4
+"4",7,22
+"5",8,16
+"6",9,10
+"7",10,18
+"8",10,26
+"9",10,34
+"10",11,17
+"11",11,28
+"12",12,14
+"13",12,20
+"14",12,24
+"15",12,28
+"16",13,26
+"17",13,34
+"18",13,34
+"19",13,46
+"20",14,26
+"21",14,36
+"22",14,60
+"23",14,80
+"24",15,20
+"25",15,26
+"26",15,54
+"27",16,32
+"28",16,40
+"29",17,32
+"30",17,40
+"31",17,50
+"32",18,42
+"33",18,56
+"34",18,76
+"35",18,84
+"36",19,36
+"37",19,46
+"38",19,68
+"39",20,32
+"40",20,48
+"41",20,52
+"42",20,56
+"43",20,64
+"44",22,66
+"45",23,54
+"46",24,70
+"47",24,92
+"48",24,93
+"49",24,120
+"50",25,85
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/sandbox/plt1.ipynb b/sandbox/plt1.ipynb
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..b814881
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sandbox/plt1.ipynb
@@ -0,0 +1,105 @@
+{
+ "cells": [
+  {
+   "cell_type": "code",
+   "execution_count": 2,
+   "id": "6e18e987",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "outputs": [],
+   "source": [
+    "using Plots"
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "code",
+   "execution_count": 23,
+   "id": "712f676e",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "outputs": [
+    {
+     "data": {
+      "text/plain": [
+       "200.0000000000001"
+      ]
+     },
+     "execution_count": 23,
+     "metadata": {},
+     "output_type": "execute_result"
+    }
+   ],
+   "source": [
+    "x = range(1, 2, length=2)\n",
+    "x = x .* 10 .|> log |> sum |> exp\n",
+    "x "
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "code",
+   "execution_count": 11,
+   "id": "02790cd8",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "outputs": [
+    {
+     "data": {
+      "text/plain": [
+       "3-element Array{Float64,1}:\n",
+       "  0.0\n",
+       "  5.0\n",
+       " 10.0"
+      ]
+     },
+     "execution_count": 11,
+     "metadata": {},
+     "output_type": "execute_result"
+    }
+   ],
+   "source": [
+    "collect(x .* 10)"
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "code",
+   "execution_count": 27,
+   "id": "4bdfc33f",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "outputs": [
+    {
+     "data": {
+      "text/plain": [
+       "(-Inf, -921.0340371976182)"
+      ]
+     },
+     "execution_count": 27,
+     "metadata": {},
+     "output_type": "execute_result"
+    }
+   ],
+   "source": [
+    "log(0.01^200), 200 * log(0.01)"
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "code",
+   "execution_count": null,
+   "id": "87dd11df",
+   "metadata": {},
+   "outputs": [],
+   "source": []
+  }
+ ],
+ "metadata": {
+  "kernelspec": {
+   "display_name": "Julia 1.5.3",
+   "language": "julia",
+   "name": "julia-1.5"
+  },
+  "language_info": {
+   "file_extension": ".jl",
+   "mimetype": "application/julia",
+   "name": "julia",
+   "version": "1.5.3"
+  }
+ },
+ "nbformat": 4,
+ "nbformat_minor": 5
+}