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Copy pathBirthdayMonteCarlo.py
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BirthdayMonteCarlo.py
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import datetime, random
def getBirthdays(numberOfBirthdays):
"""Returns a list of number random date objects for birthdays."""
birthdays =[]
for i in range (numberOfBirthdays):
#The year is unimprtant for our simulation, as long as all
#birthdays have the same year.
startOfYear = datetime.date(2001, 1, 1)
#Get a random day into the year:
randomNumberOfDays = datetime.timedelta(random.randint(0, 364))
birthday = startOfYear + randomNumberOfDays
birthdays.append(birthday)
return birthdays
def getMatch(birthdays):
"""Returns the date object of a birthday that occurs more than once in the birthdays list."""
if len(birthdays) == len(set(birthdays)):
return None #All birthdays are unique, so return None.
#compare each birthday to every other birthday:
for a, birthdayA in enumerate(birthdays):
for b, birthdayB in enumerate(birthdays[a + 1:]):
if birthdayA == birthdayB:
return birthdayA #Return the matching birthday.
print ("This program will show the probabillity of more than one person having a birthday in a group. \nIt is using what is known as a Monte Carlo simulation. Look it up!")
#Set up a tuple of month names in order:
MONTHS = ('Jan', 'Feb', 'Mar', 'Apr', 'May', 'Jun',
'Jul', 'Aug', 'Sep', 'Oct', 'Nov', 'Dec')
while True: #Keep asking until the user enters a valid ammount.
print('How many birthdays shall I generate? (Max 100)')
response = input ('>')
if response.isdecimal() and (0 < int(response) <= 100):
numBDays = int(response)
break # User has entered a valid amount.
print()
#Generate and display the birthdays:
print ('Here are', numBDays, 'birthdays:')
birthdays = getBirthdays(numBDays)
for i, birthday in enumerate(birthdays):
if i !=0:
#Display a comma for each birthday after the first birthday.
print(',', end='')
monthName= MONTHS[birthday.month - 1]
dateText = '{} {}' .format(monthName, birthday.day)
print(dateText, end='')
print()
print()
#Determine if there are two birthdays that match.
match = getMatch(birthdays)
#Display the results:
print('In this simulation,', end='')
if match != None:
monthName = MONTHS[match.month - 1]
dateText = '{}{}' .format(monthName, match.day)
print('multiple people have a birthday on', dateText)
else:
print('there are no matching birthdays, you special snowflake.')
print()
#Run through 100,000 simulations:
print('Generating',numBDays, 'random birthdays 100,000 times...')
input('Press Enter to begin...')
print('Run another 100,000 simulations')
simMatch = 0 # How many simulations had matching birthdays in them.
for i in range(100000):
#Report on the progress every 10,000 simulations:
if i % 10000 == 0:
print(i, 'simulations runs...')
birthdays = getBirthdays(numBDays)
if getMatch(birthdays) != None:
simMatch = simMatch +1
print('100,000 simulations run.')
# Display simulation results:
probability = round(simMatch / 100000 * 100, 2)
print('Out of 100,000 simulations of', numBDays, 'people, there was a')
print('matching birthday in that group', simMatch, 'times. This means')
print('that', numBDays, 'people have a', probability, '% chance of')
print('having a matching birthday in their group.')
print('That\'s probably more than you would think!')